Solar exercise December 3: Fiery limbs on solar in the present day
At present’s high information: We’re seeing fiery limbs (edges) on the solar in the present day, with lovely prominences each within the northeast and within the west. The entire east aspect of our star, as seen from Earth, is promising. As we commented yesterday, on the southeast limb, AR3153 quickly turned the most important lively area as quickly because it got here into view. However the northeast was not far behind. As could be seen on our high animation, the northeast limb seems very lively. The newcomer lively area in that space is now labeled AR3156. And an space near AR3156 blasted out a C8.1 flare yesterday (reported yesterday; see beneath). The good information is that each AR3153 and AR3156 are on the solar’s east aspect. So we’ll see them for some days, because the solar’s rotation carries them westward. NOAA forecasters elevated the possibilities for C and M flaring, largely due these two lively areas. Elsewhere on the solar … we have now now a big coronal hole spanning on each hemispheres north and south. Hopefully, with all this promise, there’s extra geomagnetic activity – and extra auroras – to return.
Final 24 hours: Solar exercise remained low over the previous 24 hours. There have been 10 C flares and two B flares. The biggest was a C3.1 from an unnumbered space near AR3156. The blast occurred at 06:10 UTC on December 3. Many of the C flares in the course of the previous day had been from this space, near AR3156. There are 5 labeled sunspot areas on the Earth-facing photo voltaic disk in the present day.
Subsequent 24 hours: The forecast is for a 75% likelihood for C flares, a 25% likelihood for M flares, and a 5% likelihood for X flares.
Subsequent anticipated CME: No Earth-directed CMEs have been noticed prior to now day.
Present geomagnetic exercise: Quiet now. Quiet for the remainder of the day in the present day December 3. Quiet to unsettled anticipated for tomorrow, December 4.
Solar exercise December 2: Massive sunspot area now in view
Sunspot area AR3153 has simply rotated into view and is now seen on the solar’s southeast quadrant. It has quickly change into the most important and fieriest area on the Earth-facing aspect of the solar. Many of the C flaring prior to now day has come from AR3153. One other newcomer sunspot area has additionally emerged on the solar’s northeast quadrant. It’s now labeled AR3155. And there’s extra coming, because the northeast limb (edge) reveals very lively prominence manufacturing. At present, we have now two coronal holes spanning the equator on the photo voltaic circle. The one we have now been observing is now getting near the west limb (edge) of the solar. And a brand new coronal gap has emerged east of the central meridian. The G1 (minor) geomagnetic storming of the previous few days appears to have come to an in depth. However extra will come!
Final 24 hours: Solar exercise is low. Observers noticed eight C-class flares and two B-class flares prior to now day. The biggest – a C8.1 – simply occurred at 9:20 UTC on December 2, 2022 (from an lively area but to be decided, probably AR3152). In the meantime, AR3153 produced many of the C flaring (seven out of the eight C flares of the day). At present, there are 4 labeled lively areas on the Earth-facing aspect of the solar.
Subsequent 24 hours: The forecast is for a 60% likelihood for C flares, a 15% likelihood for M flares, and a 5% likelihood for X flares. Probabilities for flaring elevated with the approaching of lively area AR3153.
Solar exercise December 1: Flare, sunspots and storm
It’s a trifecta of solar enjoyable! Early this morning the solar produced an M1 flare from sunspot area AR3152. Plus, a brand new sunspot has now rotated into view (labeled AR3153), and a brand new sunspot emerged on the disk (labeled AR3154). Lastly, early this morning (5:02 UTC), our planet Earth as soon as once more reached G1 (minor) geomagnetic storm levels. This disturbance would possibly provoke auroral displays at northern US latitudes as far south as Maine and Michigan. Tromso, in Norway, has seen auroras virtually daily for the final two weeks (see tweet beneath). However why are we having all this geomagnetic disturbance on Earth, because the solar has produced so few sturdy flares these days? These auroral shows are primarily attributable to the coronal holes we’ve been watching. These darkish areas within the solar’s corona – that are cooler and fewer dense than their environment – produce high-speed solar wind that flows previous Earth and disturbs our world’s magnetic area. Extra storming is anticipated. Keep alert, aurora chasers.
Good method to begin the month! Flare! AR3152 fired off an M1.1 flare at 7:04 UTC which reached its peak round 7:20 UTC on December 1. It created a radio blackout over the Indian Ocean. Possibly this area will give us extra! Extra concerning the Solar at https://t.co/xD29wLfTTM ????? pic.twitter.com/hSKxtLhppO
— Dr. C. Alex Younger (@TheSunToday) December 1, 2022
It’s been clear for the previous 2 weeks in Tromsø, Norway and the aurora gave an ideal present virtually every night time!! ? right here’s a recap in real-time: pic.twitter.com/uagwOiRWpJ
— Night time Lights | nightlights.eth (@NightLights_AM) November 30, 2022
Solar exercise November 30: Minor geomagnetic storm final night time
Solar exercise brought about a G1 (minor) geomagnetic storm yesterday. Storm ranges had been reached in daylight for the U.S. and Canada (16:47 UTC on November 29, 2022). However Scandinavia was darkish sufficient to see the auroras. And we had some auroral exercise reported from as far west as Alaska this morning (see the tweet above). Extra G1 (minor) storm ranges are anticipated early on December 1.
Final 24 hours: Solar exercise has elevated from very low to low. We noticed six C flares prior to now day, with the most important a C4.3 flare from AR3151 (13:50 UTC on November 29). There may be now one massive transequatorial coronal hole left on the solar, in a geoeffective place (able to inflicting geomagnetic disturbances on Earth). The solar has two labeled sunspot lively areas in the present day: AR3151 and AR3152.
Fairly good burst tonight. North Pole Alaska pic.twitter.com/Pe1ttb6emM
— AuroraNotify (@AuroraNotify) November 30, 2022
#amazingskies #bucketlist RT @owenhumphreys1: What an unimaginable method to finish 2 weeks in #iceland with one more wonderful present from the #northernlights over the city of Selfoss. @StormHour #weather @VirtualAstro @PA #aurora @TamithaSkov pic.twitter.com/Ozs5TlKnEI
— Penny Richards (@PennyRemembers) November 30, 2022
Solar exercise November 29: Extra auroras coming!
NOAA is forecasting extra auroras for tonight, November 29, 2022, into early tomorrow, November 30. The reason being high-speed solar wind from a coronal hole. NOAA forecasters anticipate an lively geomagnetic area as much as G1 (minor) geomagnetic storm ranges. Final night time’s auroral shows had been seen at northern latitudes corresponding to Trondheim and Kiruna in Scandinavia. Tonight, the auroral shows would possibly dip into northern U.S. states.
Final 24 hours: On the solar itself, a filament eruption on the southeast limb (edge) occurred earlier in the present day (round 00:30 UTC on November 29). The CME it produced is below evaluation to find out if there may be an Earth-directed part (see our animation beneath). After three days of solely B-class flares, solar exercise has elevated barely with a few C-class flares. The biggest – a C1.1 – occurred at 6:37 UTC on November 29, from AR3151. The opposite was a C1.0 flare from AR3152 at 2:20 UTC on November 29. The solar has three labeled sunspot lively areas.
The frost has constructed for two entire weeks in Arctic Norway and left a winter wonderland ??? Right here you can even see distinctive macro photographs of ice crystals with the aurora dancing behind ?? pic.twitter.com/vEqrgmdelv
— Night time Lights | nightlights.eth (@NightLights_AM) November 27, 2022
GM and have a epic week Twitter ? #teamtanner @dartanner pic.twitter.com/GVLLhaChSr
— ???? ?????? (@treetanner) November 28, 2022
Solar exercise November 28: Auroras!
At present’s high information: We have now auroras! The consequences of a small CME from November 25 – mixed with high-speed solar wind from a coronal hole – stirred up Earth’s magnetic area to G1 (minor) geomagnetic storm ranges beginning at 3:01 UTC on November 28. Observers at greater latitudes together with Alaska, Canada, and northern Europe (see tweets beneath) reported auroral shows. In the meantime, solar exercise from flaring stays very low with solely B-class flares.
Final 24 hours: Very low solar exercise continues for a third day with zero C flares! Solely three B flares occurred within the final day. The biggest was a B9.2 at 7:10 UTC on November 28 from AR3151. The solar has 4 labeled lively areas in the present day.
Subsequent 24 hours: The forecast is for a 35% likelihood for C flares, a 5% likelihood for M flares, and a 1% likelihood for X flares.
Subsequent anticipated CME: No new Earth-directed CMEs had been noticed.
Present geomagnetic exercise: Unsettled. The geomagnetic area is anticipated to be unsettled in the present day by way of November 30. Present unsettled circumstances are believed to be as a consequence of each the consequences of high-speed solar wind from a coronal hole and the lingering results of a small CME affect from late November 25. A number of coronal holes, now seen on the Earth-facing aspect of the solar, needs to be an element into the primary of December, as they rotate into geoeffective positions (positions on the solar from which they’re able to inflicting a magnetic disturbance on Earth).
Aurora goes nuts in Fairbanks! Want I used to be there proper now! I’m nonetheless down in WI with my dad and mom for the vacations. I shall be residing vicariously by way of the all-sky cam tonight ?? pic.twitter.com/Lf33HiVxE8
— Vincent Ledvina (@Vincent_Ledvina) November 28, 2022
#auroraborealis #northernlights had been seen even w/the cloudy skies in South Indian Lake,MB 11/27/2022 10:45 PM CT @WeatherGamer21 @aurorawatch @AmazingAurora21 @AuroraNotify @Vincent_Ledvina @tracygregorash @LachDonna @AuroraJAnderson @FergiesPhotos @TweetAurora @Aurora_Alerts pic.twitter.com/Sh7gz4saRf
— Rj Roldan ™ (@rjayroldan) November 28, 2022
One among my favourites thus far. #NorthernLights #ScottishHighlands @chunder10 @NightLights_AM @AngelBrise1 @theauroraguy @TamithaSkov pic.twitter.com/u40mYbTazJ
— Lisa Pattenden @mastodon.scot/@AuroraL ? ? (@London_Lady) November 28, 2022
Stunning #Aurora over iceland tonight! #spaceweather #northernlights @TamithaSkov @spacewxwatch @NightLights_AM @AuroraNotify @rjayroldan pic.twitter.com/SZSA16F5ag
— WeatherGamer21 (@WeatherGamer21) November 28, 2022
Wonderful couple of nights thus far with my group right here in Iceland, fast one from final night time..@StormHour @ThePhotoHour #lighthouse pic.twitter.com/vVqFQyIhQS
— OllieTaylor ???? (@OllieTPhoto) November 27, 2022
To our readers and neighborhood
We invite you all to ship us your lovely latest pictures of sunspots and auroras. We love receiving your pictures! To these of you who’ve already posted a photograph to our neighborhood, thanks.
Backside line: Solar exercise for December 3, 2022: Fiery limbs with attractive prominences in the present day on the photo voltaic disk. New sunspot AR3156. One massive coronal gap.
