SpaceX doubled down in 2022
The parents at SpaceX actually outdid themselves in 2022!
Final yr was a record-setter for SpaceX – and the aerospace business – as its rockets made it to orbit 61 occasions. The ultimate launch got here on December 30, as a Falcon 9 boosted the EROS C-3 satellite for ImageSat Worldwide.
Falcon 9 launched the @ImageSatIntl EROS C-3 mission to orbit in a single day, finishing SpaceX’s 61st and remaining launch of 2022 — almost double our document of 31 launches set final yr pic.twitter.com/KTQydZvoYC
— SpaceX (@SpaceX) December 30, 2022
In exceeding CEO Elon Musk’s bold goal of 1 launch per week, SpaceX doubled its personal earlier document of 31 launches set in 2021. And it set the document for the world’s most dependable rocket. With little or no fanfare, the corporate’s PR folks famous the astounding accomplishment through a facet observe on Twitter:
On common, SpaceX launched each 6 days from one in all our three websites with 92% of missions accomplished with flight-proven first stage rocket boosters, and Falcon 9 now holds the world document for many launches of a single car sort in a single yr
— SpaceX (@SpaceX) December 30, 2022
One other document yr forward?
For 2023, Musk needs to just about double the corporate’s launch price once more:
Yeah, aiming for as much as 100 flights subsequent yr
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) August 31, 2022
That’s about two launches each week!
In fact, two per week is a median and meaning typically the launch cadence will exceed it. Simply subsequent week, SpaceX plans to launch a pair of Falcons solely two hours aside!
First, a bunch of Starlink satellites will elevate off on a Falcon 9 at 6:54 p.m. PT on Sunday, January 8 (2:54 UTC on January 9) from Vandenberg House Power Base in California. Virtually precisely two hours later – at 11:55 p.m. ET (4:55 UTC) – a second Falcon 9 lifting off from Cape Canaveral in Florida will carry the OneWeb 16 mission to ship 48 communications satellites. Every of OneWeb’s satellites weighs 150 kg (330 lbs). Will probably be the second time SpaceX has carried its competitor’s satellites into house.
SpaceX has 5 different launches deliberate for January, three of which is able to carry batches of Starlink satellites.
1000’s extra satellites in 2023
In accordance with EverydayAstronaut.com, this newest batch of 52 Starlink satellites brings the whole launched to this point to three,718. About 300 of these have been deorbited, leaving round 3,400 nonetheless flying. Which means SpaceX must launch about 1,000 Starlink satellites this yr to fulfill its present purpose. As EverydayAstronaut.com reported:
Starlink Era 1 consists of 5 orbital shells and has a complete of 4,408 satellite tv for pc slots. These satellites will fully be launched on Falcon 9, and it’s anticipated for these launches to complete in 2023.
Era 2 will dwarf Gen 1, with almost 30,000 satellites wanted to finish it. That quantity is 20 occasions greater than the whole variety of satellites launched from the time Sputnik was orbited in 1957 till the Starlink program started in 2019.
Crowded skies pressure satellites to dodge
SpaceX has already made its first launch this yr, internet hosting a ride-share that put 114 tiny CubeSats into house early final week. It described the mission on its website:
On Tuesday, January 3 at 9:56 a.m. ET, Falcon 9 launched Transporter-6, SpaceX’s sixth devoted smallsat rideshare mission, from House Launch Advanced 40 at Cape Canaveral House Power Station in Florida. This was the fifteenth launch and touchdown of this Falcon 9 stage booster, which beforehand supported launch of GPS III-3, Turksat 5A, Transporter-2, Intelsat G-33/G-34 and 10 Starlink missions.
In accordance with Professor Hugh Lewis of the Astronautics Analysis Group on the College of Southampton in England, the rising variety of satellites on orbit pressured SpaceX craft to make greater than 26,000 changes to keep away from hitting different objects over the past two years.
SpaceX has reported a complete of 26,037 collision avoidance manoeuvres being carried out within the interval 1 December 2020 to 30 November 2022 (i.e. 2 years). The development is a third order polynomial (R^2 = 0.998) [2/n]
— Hugh Lewis (@ProfHughLewis) January 3, 2023
If his numbers are proper, then SpaceX’s Starlink satellites shall be pressured to regulate course about a million occasions in whole by the top of 2027.
The reporting by SpaceX means that Starlink satellites (in whole) are presently performing about 75 collision avoidance manoeuvres every day. With the easy extrapolation, the quantity could possibly be ~1,000 per day by the top of 2027 [4/n] pic.twitter.com/55pFbcQn0w
— Hugh Lewis (@ProfHughLewis) January 3, 2023
Backside line: SpaceX had set a document launch tempo in 2022 and plans to double it in 2023, however site visitors is getting heavy on orbit.
